Crash stats

[Oleg]

Fun facts:

On
http://www.tc.gc.ca/eng/roadsafety/tp-t ... 7-1039.htm
The "Casualty Rates 2007" table has a "Per Billion Vehicle-Kilometres" column. On average, there are 6 fatalities Per Billion Vehicle-Kilometres in Ontario. In North America, this figure is approximately 10 fatalities per billion vehicle-kilometers. If one goes on a 10,000 km road trip, one has about a 1 in 10,000 chance of not coming back. Keep in mind that one is between 30 and 90 times more likely to be injured in a crash, than one is to die in a crash. I never thought that driving is this dangerous.

The average person drives about 20,000 km/year, or about 1,000,000 km in his or her lifetime. According to another source, in North America about 1 in 100 people die in car crashes during their lifetime (which is consistent with the numbers above, and would imply that 1 in 167 people in Ontario die in car crashes during their lifetime).

The chance of winning if you buy one Lotto 6/49 ticket is close to 1 in 14,000,000. Suppose you live in Ontario, and the store that sells lottery tickets is 6 km from your home. The above implies that you are more likely to die in a crash when you drive to buy your ticket, than you are to win the lottery.

According to the last row of the "Fatal Crashes" panel of Table 3 on page 33 of
http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/TSF2005.pdf
for passenger cars, "Involvement Rate per 100 Million Vehicle MILES Traveled" is 1.55 (which is consistent with the figure of "approximately 10 fatalities per billion vehicle-kilometers traveled" used above). For motorcycles this rate is reported to be 43.22. So one is 27.88 more likely to die when one rides a motorcycle, compared to when one drives a car. Why is it still legal to ride a motorcycle?! Suppose you live in Ontario, and the store that sells lottery tickets is 215 meters from your home. The above implies that you are more likely to die in a crash when you ride a motorcycle to buy your ticket, than you are to win the lottery.

Another thing I learned when I examined all of those tables (see Table 24 on page 61) is that driving in the evening on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday is almost twice as dangerous as driving during the day.

[Eug9n9]

Так что получается, если я пешком пойду билетик покупать и там дорогу переходить надо, то мне вообще *-дец?

[Бойцовый кролик]

Так что получается, если я пешком пойду билетик покупать и там дорогу переходить надо, то мне вообще *-дец?

Угу. Лотерея - смертельно опасное развлечение.

[Oleg]

Так что получается, если я пешком пойду билетик покупать и там дорогу переходить надо, то мне вообще *-дец?

Just make sure you don't ride a motorcycle.